📍 Oldman Dam Location & Watershed

🏞️ About Oldman Dam

The Oldman Reservoir, located in the Oldman River Basin in Alberta, Canada, plays a critical role in regional water management by supporting municipal supply, irrigation, master apportionment, and downstream environmental flows.

Reliable short-term streamflow forecasts are essential for making timely operational decisions and reducing risk during periods of high or low flow in dam operations.

🤖 Machine Learning Approach

This website provides daily streamflow forecasts for the next 1–5 days at the Oldman Dam using 4 different machine learning methods.

Historical hydrometeorological data is used to train models that can predict future flow conditions with high accuracy.

📈 What This Website Offers

  • Up-to-date flow forecasts for the next 5 days
  • Interactive graphs to explore predicted vs. historical flows
  • Real-time model input values and performance metrics
  • Visual watershed mapping and location context

🧠 Machine Learning Models

  • Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) - Deep learning approach
  • Support Vector Regression (SVR) - Robust regression method
  • Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) - Ensemble method
  • Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) - Time series specialist

📊 Data Sources

  • Historical flow data: Environment and Climate Change Canada Real-time hydrometric data
  • Reservoir outflow: Oldman Reservoir Outflow at Oldman Dam - EPA
  • Meteorological inputs: Environment and Climate Change Canada climate data

🙏 Acknowledgments

This work was made possible through the supervision of Dr. Nesa Ilich and Dr. Evan Davies at the University of Alberta, with valuable input from researchers in hydrology and data science. We also thank the agencies that provided access to open hydrometric and meteorological data.